Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.215245 0.239236 0.265834 0.297702 0.335105 0.377933 0.431152
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.172605 0.203102 0.239776 0.287862 0.350377 0.430566 0.544082
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.149849 0.183476 0.226323 0.286391 0.370956 0.490024 0.678985
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.132548 0.167056 0.212951 0.280659 0.382178 0.536565 0.807316
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.122346 0.158156 0.207625 0.284079 0.405692 0.605078 0.992579
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.110515 0.145446 0.195027 0.274296 0.406098 0.635146 1.119052
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.100138 0.133669 0.182304 0.262226 0.400070 0.651760 1.224230
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.092020 0.124400 0.172287 0.252978 0.396960 0.672521 1.346679
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.090564 0.124779 0.176889 0.268142 0.439898 0.794621 1.777012
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.091587 0.128922 0.187725 0.295422 0.511538 1.002529 2.609627
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.090117 0.128987 0.191841 0.311180 0.563670 1.186517 3.570617
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.086206 0.124799 0.188343 0.312056 0.583860 1.296357 4.383625
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.080819 0.118140 0.180549 0.304731 0.586812 1.368279 5.185742
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.075017 0.110472 0.170472 0.291892 0.575023 1.395122 5.832051
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.071353 0.106136 0.165958 0.289863 0.589563 1.514944 7.368268
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.067514 0.101228 0.159968 0.283932 0.592920 1.599897 8.942475
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.065253 0.098870 0.158452 0.287386 0.622188 1.799347 12.479835
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.061532 0.093726 0.151282 0.277442 0.612079 1.837388 14.463695
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.057830 0.088420 0.143447 0.265182 0.593091 1.830233 15.908018
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.054742 0.084049 0.137134 0.255790 0.581007 1.850809 18.141989
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.054663 0.085041 0.141278 0.271190 0.647983 2.299798 36.066331
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.055727 0.088165 0.149926 0.298909 0.765479 3.186186 129.678497
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.055462 0.088807 0.153593 0.314927 0.850526 4.040866 589.892926